Solana’s recovery appears to have lost momentum after it shed over 6% in the past week. As it currently trades near $77, it is facing its most negative market sentiment of 2026.

In fact, SOL’s trading volume has dropped to its lowest point in 2026, while negative commentary surrounding the asset has surged to its highest daily level this year, according to Santiment.

Rebound Setup Emerges

Much of the disappointment stems from expectations that strong narratives around tokenized stocks and real-world asset (RWA) activity would translate into stronger price performance, something traders have yet to see.

Santiment noted that this combination of elevated fear, uncertainty, and doubt (FUD) alongside weak trading volume has historically created conditions that can favor a rebound. With retail participation low and sentiment deeply negative, there may be less resistance if large stakeholders decide to drive Solana’s prices higher, which could potentially set the stage for a sharp move that catches traders off guard.

The Solana network added 1.60 million new addresses over the past two weeks. Additionally, the SuperTrend indicator on SOL’s three-day chart also flashed a new buy signal for the first time since October 10, 2025, when the Average True Range (ATR) trailing stop moved below the price. According to analyst Ali Martinez, the previous SuperTrend sell signal was followed by a 74% price correction. He said the latest signal points to a bullish trend and could send SOL toward $100.

Michaël van de Poppe also observed that the crypto asset has re-entered its trading range and may briefly pull back before continuing its upward move. He added that holding the $75-$77 range as support could open the door to gains toward $100 and potentially $120 in the coming weeks or months.

$78 Holds the Key

Another crypto analyst, Dami-Defi, also pointed to a potential breakout as SOL currently tests the upper boundary of a descending channel that has been in place since September 2025. According to the analyst, a three-day close above $78 would confirm the breakout and open the door to an initial move toward $105, followed by $125 and $155 if momentum continues.

However, the setup would be invalidated by a three-day close below $72, and stronger trading volume would be needed to confirm the breakout.

Источник: CryptoPotato