XRP price is closing its strongest month of the year, yet the funds that buy it have gone quiet. ETF desks recorded no flows at all on 10 of July’s 17 trading days.

XRP trades near $1.10 after a month locked inside a tight range. It now enters August, the one month on its record with no clear direction, and three signals say demand is thinning.

XRP’s Best Month Hands Over to Its Flattest One

History sets the stage. XRP has closed July green every year since 2020. That is six completed years, with 2026 currently up 6.83% and tracking a seventh.

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No month on XRP’s record holds a longer winning run. July also carries a +6.91% median, the strongest of any month. Median matters more than average here, because it strips out the outlier years that distort XRP’s history.

August breaks the rhythm. Its +0.43% average is the flattest reading on the table, while every other month leans clearly positive or negative. August has also closed red four years running, the longest losing run any month currently carries, and Bitcoin walks into a similar August setup.

Fund flows already match that apathy. XRP ETF flows registered exactly $0.00 on 10 of the 17 trading days in July, including two separate three-day blackouts.

The latest blackout ran from July 22 to July 24, straight into month end. Net July demand across those 17 sessions reached roughly $12.4 million against a fund complex holding about $997 million, so US spot XRP ETF demand has barely moved the needle.

Turnover is thinning too. Daily value traded fell from $14.05 million on July 1 to $8.80 million on July 24, a drop of about 37%.

Fund desks stepping back is one signal. Whether spot buyers are doing the same is the next question.

Exchange Outflows Collapse as Buyers Step Aside

On-chain data answers it. The XRP exchange net position change, a metric tracking how many tokens move in and out of exchanges, sat at -205.1 million XRP on July 3.

By July 26 it had shrunk to -70.2 million XRP, a 66% drop. Coins are still leaving exchanges, but at roughly a third of the earlier pace.

Sustained outflows usually point to accumulation. A collapse this steep suggests buyers may be stepping aside rather than turning into sellers. Another sign of fading interest.

That fits the ETF picture. Neither institutions nor spot participants are dumping XRP, yet neither group is adding with conviction ahead of a month that historically goes nowhere.

The price chart shows exactly what drained the interest.

XRP Price Prediction Hinges on a 20-Cent Range

The levels here come from an unusual fit. Anchoring a Fibonacci tool across the March 17 and May 13 swings produces a grid that price now respects almost exactly.

Two lines define everything. The 1.618 extension at $1.01 has held since late June, close to a month of defense. Another key level at $1.22 has capped every attempt since XRP lost it at the end of May.

That $1.01 to $1.22 band is the whole story. XRP has spent a month trapped inside it, which explains why ETF desks and spot buyers alike have drifted away.

Volume backs the fatigue. Buying volume has fallen steadily since June 30, so an upside break looks unlikely without fresh demand.

For the XRP price prediction to turn bullish, buyers need a three-day close above $1.22. That 10.42% move would likely pull ETF inflows back. Losing $1.01, a 7.95% drop, would instead open the door to renewed outflows. Regardless of the direction, something will finally happen.

It is worth noting that selling pressure is not building either. If sell volume stays this thin, August’s flat history argues for more range rather than a breakdown. For now, $1.01 separates another dull month inside the band from the drop that finally forces institutions to react.

Source: BeInCrypto