XRP is testing historic oversold levels on the weekly RSI, echoing the 2022 bear-market bottom for only the second time in the token’s history. Analyst Cryptoinsightuk first flagged the rare technical setup across the broader market.

The signal was previously aligned with one of XRP’s strongest recoveries, drawing fresh attention from contrarian traders.

What the Historic Oversold Signal on XRP Means

The Relative Strength Index, or RSI, is a momentum indicator that measures how oversold or overbought an asset has become across a defined timeframe. A weekly RSI reading near or below 30 typically signals extreme seller exhaustion and rare capitulation conditions across the broader crypto market.

XRP is currently flashing exactly that condition. The token trades around $1.07, down sharply in recent sessions. Furthermore, the 24-hour decline exceeds 3%, while weekly losses have stretched to roughly 10% across the global trading sessions.

“Second time in history touching this zone is wild. Not saying it has to be the bottom, but this is definitely where I stop listening to panic takes,” analyst CryptoSensei said.

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Bitcoin’s slide below $60,000 has weighed on sentiment across the altcoin market. As a result, XRP’s market cap has dropped to approximately $66.2 billion, though it remains among the top cryptocurrencies globally by total value.

The historical parallel matters most here. In late 2022, the same technical setup coincided with XRP’s capitulation low near $0.29. That moment ultimately marked the cycle trough before a substantial recovery played out across the following months of trading.

However, history offers no guarantee. Liquidity conditions, market structure, and macroeconomic forces have evolved considerably since 2022. Yet, the rarity of the signal stands out, and only two occurrences in XRP’s entire history put traders on notice.

“$XRP is historically oversold on the weekly and monthly RSI, yet we still lack a point of contact on the 3M RSI beneath levels of 50 (47 marks historical lows in prior cycles). We are fast approaching some of the most oversold territory in over a decade. Major opps right here,” crypto analyst ChartNerd noted.

What’s Next for XRP Price

The current XRP setup carries a stronger fundamental backdrop than the 2022 bottom. Ripple’s legal clarity with United States regulators removed a major overhang, opening the door to expanded cross-border payment partnerships and growing real-world asset tokenization activity on the XRP Ledger.

On-chain data adds another layer to the story. Several market observers have flagged steady whale accumulation through the recent price dip. Moreover, that pattern of large-holder buying often precedes meaningful price recoveries when combined with technically oversold conditions on higher timeframes.

The challenges remain real. XRP has underperformed Bitcoin and Ethereum year-to-date amid elevated US dollar strength and reduced liquidity expectations. Resistance clusters between $1.30 and $1.40 stand firm, while support sits near the psychological $1.00 zone.

Institutional forecasts add a longer-term contrast. Standard Chartered has cited XRP price targets well above $2 by the end of 2026. However, those projections depend on additional ETF approvals and broader adoption catalysts materializing across the regulatory landscape.

Traders are now watching two specific signals for confirmation. A decisive weekly close above the 50-week moving average would offer the first technical green light. Furthermore, an RSI divergence would strengthen the case for a sustained bottoming process and not a brief bounce.

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Источник: BeInCrypto