IBM CEO Arvind Krishna said quantum computing will measurably affect the company’s revenue and earnings by 2028 or 2029. He projected $1 trillion in value from the technology by the end of the 2030s.

The forecast signals quantum hardware is commercializing faster than many Bitcoin (BTC) holders assumed. Roughly a third of the supply remains exposed to a future quantum attack.

Quantum Gets an Earnings Date

Krishna made the comments on Thursday on CNBC.

“I think that in 2028 or 2029, you’ll see it have a measurable impact on our top line and bottom line. By the end of the 2030s, we are now pretty convinced this is a trillion dollars of value,” he said.

The remarks came the same day IBM and Algorithmiq said they had demonstrated what they called quantum advantage. The firms reported that a quantum computer outperformed leading classical computing methods on a specific simulation task.

“It demonstrates that quantum computers can provide trusted solutions more efficiently, more cheaply, or more accurately than leading classical compute methods — which has long been considered a key milestone in the field,” the team noted.

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Bitcoin’s Quantum Defense Clock Keeps Shrinking

Quantum machines cannot break encryption today, but their pace of progress is what security planners act on. Google Quantum AI’s findings from March slashed the qubit count needed to break elliptic curve cryptography by roughly 20-fold, to under 500,000.

Meanwhile, the exposure is substantial. Over 34% of Bitcoin’s supply is held in addresses with publicly revealed keys, per the BIP-361 proposal. That equals roughly 6.8 million BTC, worth about $437 billion at press time.

However, Bitcoin still lacks an agreed migration path. Developers merged BIP-360 into the proposal repository in February, while the broader BIP-361 draft remains contested.

Nonetheless, institutional money has started to respond. Galaxy Digital launched its Bitcoin Quantum Readiness Initiative on July 21, committing up to $5 million in developer grants.

Coinbase also set up an Independent Advisory Board on Quantum Computing. Both firms are among nine founding members of the Bitcoin Security Consortium, which pledged $15 million alongside BlackRock, Fidelity Digital Assets, and Strategy.

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Source: BeInCrypto